90% spike in nickel caused by Russia disruptions
LONDON, March 7 (Reuters) – Nickel prices spike 90% to all-time highs on Monday and aluminium jumped to a record above $4,000 a tonne as fears of major disruptions to supplies due to financial sanctions on Russia fuelled a buying frenzy.
Russia supplies the world with around 10% of its nickel needs mainly for stainless steel and electric vehicle batteries, and accounts for about 6% of international production of aluminium, used in the transport, construction and packaging industries.
However, traders and funds taking profits after the New York open saw aluminium reverse early gains.
Benchmark aluminium on the London Metal Exchange was down 3.1% at $3,729 a tonne at 1758 GMT, while nickel was up 76% at $50,925 a tonne from an earlier $55,000, the highest on record.
“Price risks are skewed to the upside over the coming month across the metals complex,” said Citi analyst Max Layton, citing supply shortages for metals produced in Russia and Ukraine.
The United States and European allies exploring the idea of banning imports of Russian oil have also spooked metals markets, which are up across the board.
Traders said funds with bets on lower nickel prices reversing their positions was partly behind the explosive gain in early trade.
Gains are also due to low inventories of aluminium and nickel in LME-registered warehouses.
LME nickel stocks , at 76,830 tonnes, are down 70% since April last year at the lowest in more than two years, and a fraction of demand estimated at around 3 million tonnes.
Aluminium stocks , at 786,475 tonnes, are close to the 15-year lows of 761,950 tonnes they hit in February.
“The continued fall in LME inventories and increased supply chain issues prompted the market’s scarcity pricing,” said ING analyst Wenyu Yao.
Disruptions to Russian nickel supplies exacerbating shortages pushed the premium for the cash over the three-month contract to $690 a tonne on Friday, the highest since 2007. It was last at $123 a tonne.